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Peter Bain is the Internet's #1 Forex coach and mentor. He is famous for his unique ability to uncover new and innovative ways to harness the power of the Forex. Peter has long been known for his passion for commodity and currency trading. Peter learned trading in the early days of his career from some of the top traders in trading houses. Over the years, he has developed his instincts for a simple yet powerful trading system based on his Pivot Program, which has been continuously refined over the years. His system is the same system used by many trading houses today. For more information, please visit http://www.forexmentor.com

Sunday, November 12, 2006

China Sells Dollars

Courtesy of our valued member Steve Bishop.

Reuters reported important statements by Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People’s Bank of China. He was interviewed this morning at a central bankers conference in Frankfurt. Apparently, Zhou said, "All central banks are trying to diversify. …We have had a very clear diversification plan for several years."

Miller Tabak & Co estimates that China now has over $1 trillion in foreign exchange reserves. Apparently, some $700 billion of these are held in U.S. dollars or dollar-denominated securities. The U.S. dollar came under immediate selling pressure.

Brian Dollan, research director at Forex.com, a unit of the currency-trading firm Gain Capital of New Jersey said, "The prime beneficiaries will be the euro, yen, pound and the Australian dollar." (Interestingly, the last two mentioned have just raised their interest rates.) As far as America is concerned, a weak dollar is inflationary in the medium-term. A weak dollar, in itself, could therefore lead to an increase in U.S. interest rates, as we have forecast, to stem inflation just when a recession looms.

The stagflation we have warned of may be nearer at hand that even we had thought.

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